JHU BLAST Working Group

Bayesian Learning and Spatio-Temporal modeling
Department of Biostatistics
Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health

Leadership

Photo of Abhi Datta

Abhi Datta

Associate Professor

Department of Biostatistics

Abhi develops statistical and machine learning methods for large spatial datasets as well as Bayesian models for multi-source epidemiological datasets.

Photo of Aki Nishimura

Aki Nishimura

Assistant Professor

Department of Biostatistics

Aki uses Bayesian methods and statistical computing to tackle methodological challenges in healthcare analytics and large-scale biomedical applications.

Upcoming Events

Bayesian extension of Multilevel Functional Principal Components Analysis with application to Continuous Glucose Monitoring Data

Wednesday, May 1, 2024

Speaker: Joe Sartini (Johns Hopkins University)

Multilevel functional principal components analysis (MFPCA) facilitates estimation of hierarchical covariance structures for functional data produced by wearable sensors, including continuous glucose monitors (CGM), all while accounting for covariate effects. There are several existing methods to efficiently fit these types of models, including the eminent fast covariance estimation and the recently proposed procedure of fitting appropriate localized mixed effects models and smoothing (Xiao et al. 2016, Leroux et al. 2023). However, these methods do not inherently account for uncertainty in the eigenfunctions during the estimation procedure. Most rely on bootstrap or asymptotic analytic results to perform inference after estimation. Towards this end, we fit MFPCA within a fully-Bayesian framework using MCMC, treating the orthogonal eigenfunctions as random. A model constructed in this way automatically accounts for variability in eigenfunction estimation and its interplay with both features of the data and the assumed hierarchical structure. The flexibility of this method also makes it well-suited to exploring the imposition of additional constraints on the eigenfunctions, such as mutual orthogonality across levels. We assess the convergence of our model using Grassmannian distances between the spaces spanned by sampled eigenfunctions at each level. After performing validation using a variety of simulated functional data, we compare the results of our model to the prominent existing approaches using 4-hour windows of CGM data for persons with diabetes centered around known mealtimes.